정보참모부 주간요약보고
보고 기간: 1948년 4월 9일~1948년 4월 16일
주한미육군사령부
서울, 조선
1948년 4월 16일 제135호
A. 군대
1. 병력 (2급 비밀)
경찰: 30,000명
경비대: 27,899명
해안경비대: 2,859명
B. 현용 정보
1. 정치 활동
a. 유권자 등록 상황 1946년 개정된 인구조사 규정에 따라 전체 유권자의 91%인 805만 5,295명이 5월 10일 선거에 참여하기 위해 등록했다. 지역별 유권자 수는 다음과 같다.
지역 | 등록유권자 수 | 유권자 비율(%)
서울 | 568,291 | 92 경기도 | 1,131,319 | 95.7 강원도 | 474,723 | 96.5 충청북도 | 461,084 | 98 충청남도 | 791,663 | 90.3 경상북도 | 1,210,264 | 90.6 경상남도 | 1,314,440 | 95.3 전라북도 | 791,499 | 86.4 전라남도 | 1,229,200 | 88.9 제주도 | 82,812 | 64.9 전체 | 8,055,295 | 91
완전한 것은 아니지만 4월 16일 보고에 따르면 198건의 후보등록이 있었고 그 중 47건이 서울이었다. 두드러지는 후보로는 이승만, 장면(전 과도입법의원 의원), 이윤영(조선민주당 당수), 박승호(과도입법의원 의원), 이청천 장군(대동청년단), 김활란(이화여자대학교 총장), 백남훈(한국민주당)을 들 수 있다.
논평: 제주도 공산주의자들의 활동(B, 2, b항 참고)이 비교적 소강상태로 접어든 것으로 보인다. 선거인 등록 최종결과는 만족할 만하다. 공산주의자들이 선동과 물리력으로 등록을 반대하는 가운데 그들 자신의 등록 여부는 아직 알려지지 않고 있다.
2. 민간인 소요
a. 폭동 날짜 미정 보고 기간 중 공산주의 폭동 발생 전망에 관한 확실한 정보는 없었다.
b. 선거등록사무소 22곳 공격 이번 주 공산주의 공격자들은 경찰지서를 상대적으로 평화롭게 놓아뒀으나, 선거등록사무소 22곳에는 공격을 감행했다. 지난주 보고와 추가보고를 합치면 공격받은 선거등록사무소는 모두 44곳에 이른다.
경상북도 도청 소재지인 대구가 가장 심한 타격을 받았다. 이곳에서는 최소한 11곳의 선거등록사무소가 공격을 받았다. 523개의 등록카드가 분실된 것으로 알려졌으며, 또 다른 500개도 아마 분실된 듯하다. 충청북도에서 가장 심하게 피해를 입은 곳은 도청 소재지인 청주로, 선거등록사무소 6곳이 공격당했다. 이번 주 제주도에서는 계속된 산발적 폭동으로 경찰 2명과 우익인사 3명이 사망했다. 강원도와 경상북도 경계에 있는 경찰지서 1곳이 폭도 100명에게 공격을 받았다. 경찰 5명과 경찰을 돕던 민간인 2명이 부상당했다. 충청북도에서는 우익인사 1명이 선거운동을 중지하라는 협박편지를 받은 지 5일 만에 살해됐다.
논평: 1만3,455개의 선거등록사무소가 설치됐다는 것을 고려해 본다면, 등록기간 이후의 주와 10일 간의 걸친 등록 기간 동안 공산주의자들의 공격 시도는
심각하지 않았다. 등록 기록의 훼손은 유권자의 투표권을 무효로 만들지 못한다.
선거위원회는 유권자에게 재등록을 요구하지 않을 것이며, 등록 기록을 "재건"할 수 있다.
C. 개전 가능성
2. 미곡 가격
지역 미곡 가격이 지난 7일 동안 60원 상승했다. 이는 교통 운임의 상승을 반영 하는 것이다.
논평: 4월 13일 이전까지는 초과 수화물에 대한 요금 부과가 없었다. 4월 13일,
승객 칸의 혼잡을 해소하기 위해 운수부는 4말 이상의 미곡을 소지한 2등칸 승객 들에게 추가 운임을 부과하는 현행 규제를 시행했다. 지역 상인들은 이를 바로 소 비자에게 전가했다.
공시(公示)가격 - 140원 출처 - 중앙물가행정처
* - 데이터 없음
| 지역 | 12월 | 1월 | 2월 | 3월 | 4월 16일 | |------|------|------|------|------|----------| | 서울 | 750 | 743 | 746 | 710 | 680 | | 강원 | 632 | 791 | 860 | * | | | 충북 | 600 | 586 | * | * | | | 충남 | 650 | 630 | 662 | * | | | 경북 | 534 | 541 | 550 | * | | | 경남 | 575 | 650 | 707 | * | | | 전북 | 634 | 608 | 608 | * | | | 전남 | 575 | 558 | 575 | * | | | 제주 | 729 | 733 | 680 | * | | | 평균 | 631 | 648 | 676 | * | |
PART I
SOUTH KOREA
Secret
From: 091200/I Apr.48
To : 161200/I Apr.48
Headquarters, USAFIK
Seoul, Korea
16 April 1948
No. 135
Maps: KOREA 1/250,000
East ASIA, 1/1,000,000
A. ARMED FORCES
1. Strength (Secret)
Police: 30,000
Constabulary: 27,899
Coast Guard: 2,859
2. Operational Activity (Confidential)
Six border incidents occurred, five of which involved SOVIET troops:
On 06 April YOHYON (948-1696) police observed two groups of SOVIETS, groups of ten and fifteen, fifty (50) yards south of the parallel.
On 08 April three SOVIET soldiers, in company with three North Korean border guards, stole two bags of lime from a mine in the vicinity of (946.6-
1694.5). Shots were exchanged with South Korean police but there were no casualties. The US-USSR Joint Survey Agreement specifically states that this entire mine is considered in the U.S. zone.
On 12 April seven SOVIET soldiers violated the parallel near (1024.2-
1695.5).
On 13 April seven SOVIETS abducted a South Korean near (1023-1696), took him north of the border and interrogated him concerning the number of
U.S. troops at OP #18.
On 14 April a SOVIET fighter plane intercepted a U.S. plane near
UFO-RI (940-1690). There was no firing.
The sixth incident occurred 11 April near (959.2-1695.7). Eight
North Koreans dressed as civilians invaded South KOREA, wounded a South Korean policeman, and returned north of the boundary. Five of these men were armed with SOVIET-type sub-machine guns.
COMMENT: This is the largest number of incidents to be reported for several weeks and the first incidents involving SOVIET personnel since 18
March.
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B. CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
1. Political Activity
a. Status of Registrations
8,055,295 South Koreans, or 91% of that part of the population eligible to vote according to the 1946 census as revised by Korean authorities, registered for the 10 May elections. The distribution by province follows:
PROVINCE NO OF REGISTERED PERCENTAGE OF ELIGIBLE
VOTERS
SEOUL 568,291 92
KYONGGI DO 1,131,319 95.7
KANGWON DO 474,723 96.5
CHUNGCHONG PUKTO 461,084 98
CHUNGCHONG NAMDO 791,663 90.3
KYONGSANG PUKTO 1,210,264 90.6
KYONGSANG NAMDO 1,314,440 95.3
CHOLLA PUKTO 791,499 88.4
CHOLLA NAMDO 1,229,200 88.9
CHEJU DO 82,812 64.9
8,055,295
Incomplete returns available 16 April show 198 candidacy registrations, 47 of which are in Seoul. Some of the more prominent candidates for office include RHEE; CHANG Hyon, former KILA member; LEE Yun Yong, chairman of the Chosun Democratic Party; PAK Seung Ho, KILA member; General LEE
Chung Chun, Dai Dong Youth Corps; Helen KIM, President of EWHA College; PAIK
Nam Hoon, Hankook Democratic Party.
COMMENT: Communist activity on CHEJU DO (see par. B,2.b) accounted for the comparatively small turnout there. The overall results are considered gratifying. It is still not known whether communists themselves registered while orally and physically opposing registration in general.
b. Developments Toward the North-South Conference
Postponement
On 13 April Radio PYONGYANG announced the postponement of the opening meeting of the political leaders of North and South KOREA, previously scheduled for 14 April. The request of the principal guests, KIM Kyu Sik and
KIM Koo, for a postponement was probably the main reason for it. A new date for the meeting has not been set.
Report of Liaison Men
KIM Koo's representative, AHN Kyung Kun, and KIM Kyu Sik's representative, KWON Tai Yong, acting liaison personnel with North Korean authorities, departed from SEOUL on 07 April (W/S #134, B, 1,c) and returned from PYONGYANG on 09 April. They reported that they had spoken with KIM Il
Sung, Chairman of the North Korean PEOPLE'S COMMITTEE, and KIM Doo Bong, Chair man of the NORTH KOREA LABOR PARTY, for one hour on 08 April. The following day, prior to their departure, the liaison men were shown the city where they noted signs of prosperity and a lower cost-of-living than in South KOREA.
They also were of the opinion that the conference would be successful. No startling revelations resulted from this venture into the SOVIET zone of occupation.
KWON Tai Yong spent an hour in presenting an account of his experiences in North KOREA, before a meeting of the Political and Standing
Committees of the moderate National Independence Federation on 13 April.
But here, too, he added nothing of significance to his report. (B-2)
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128 제주4·3사건 추가진상조사자료집 5
XXIV CORPS G-2 W/S #135 PART I
KIM Ky Sik's Position
As Radio PYONGYANG continued to announce the arrival of additional "representatives" (mainly South Korean Communists), KIM Kyu Sik was in a quandary as to how he could avoid serving thinly disguised communist purposes and at the same time proceed with the North-South consultations, which he has long -publicly- supported. On 13 April it was reported that KIM Kyu Sik was planning to make his attendance conditional on the acceptance of the following demands, which would be summarily rejected by the North Korean authorities but which the majority of non-communists would deem reasonable:
1. The portrait of STALIN must be removed from all public places in order to reduce the number of ubiquitous reminders that North KOREA is a satellite state.
2. The PYONGYANG meeting must be viewed only as a preparatory one, with the first official meeting to be held in SEOUL. All parties interested must take part.
3. North Koreans must elect one hundred (100) delegates to join the two hundred (200) assemblymen elected in the South.
4. UNTCOK must be invited to send at least one member to observe the elections in North KOREA.
5. The conference, whether in PYONGYANG or SEOUL, must discuss only methods of attaining independence. It must not be empowered to discuss and adopt a constitution, establish a government, adopt a flag or a name for the government.
6. Agitation by Koreans for joint withdrawal of occupation forces must be discontinued. Instead the SOVIETS are to be requested to initiate a joint US-USSR conference regarding the conditions of troop removal.
However, after long periods of wrangling with the Political and Standing Committees of the National Independence Federation on 14 April, he obtained approval of only the following:
1. The establishment of a government shall be preceded by a free, national, general election to elect the body which shall determine the structure of the Korean government.
2. "We shall establish an independent state which shall not permit monopolistic capitalism, but which shall guarantee the rights of private property."
3. "We shall not agree to any form of dictatorship whatsoever, and shall advocate and establish a truly democratic government."
4. "We shall consider as unfriendly any nation that seeks to establish or establishes military bases in KOREA."
Later KIM Kyu Sik added a fifth principle embodying the same idea contained in point "6" of his previously considered conditions, i.e., the withdrawal of troops.
COMMENT: It is considered that KIM Kyu Sik was sincere in drawing up his original conditions, and that they marked the lines along
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which a fight could be waged for a unified KOREA that is not openly communist dominated. The new conditions give no indication of results other than those predicted in W/S #134, par. B, k, c.
Both KIM Koo and Kim Kyu Sik, it is reported, will depart for PYONGYANG sometime during the coming week.
2. Civil Unrest
a. No Uprising Date Yet Named
No definite information was received during the period concerning prospective dates for communist uprisings.
b. 22 Attacks on Registration Centers
Communist attackers left police boxes in comparative peace this week but launched attacks against twenty-two (22) registration booths.
These, combined with the ones covered last week and by delayed reports, brought the total to forty-four (44).
KYONGSANG-PUKTO's capitol, TAEGU, was hit the hardest. Here at least eleven (11) attacks were made on registration centers. It is known that 523 registration cards were lost and another 500 were probably lost.
Attacks in CHUNGCHONG-PUKTO were heaviest in that province's capitol, CHEONGJU, where six registration centers were hit. Two policemen and three rightists were killed in continued and sporadic violence on CHEJU-DO this week. One police box was attacked on the KANGWON-DO — KYONGSANG PUKTO border by a 100-man mob. Five policemen and two civilians who were helping the police were injured. One rightist was assassinated in CHUNGCHONG-PUKTO five days after he received a threatening letter which warned him to cease election activities.
COMMENT: Considering that there were a total of 13,455 booths set up, the communist effort against them during the post-registration period this week and the preceding 10-day registration period has not been serious. The destruction of registration records does not nullify the registrants' right to vote. Election committees will not require registrants to re-register, but can "reconstruct" registration records.
c. Police Resign in Fear of Communist Terror
The threat of an impending communist guerrilla campaign against the election, wherein police boxes will no doubt become primary targets along with election officials and polling places, has caused an undetermined number of police to resign from the force in areas where the communists are strongest.
In the communist stronghold area in and around TAEGU (see par
3,2,b), 177 policemen resigned from the force last month and 31 resigned during the first 10 days in April. This is far in excess of the normal 1.8% turnover of police personnel in this area.
The significant reason given by resigning police is, "Communists are growing stronger each day with help of government officials." They are
referring to:
(a) The pre-registration release of 3,140 prisoners who had
been convicted for active participation in communist acts against the government such as inciting to riot and strike.
(b) The passage of the new criminal code which provides for search warrants and the privilege of bail.
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CIVIL UNREST CHART
HWANGAE-DO KANGWON-DO ongjin
· chunchon
38°N
KYONGGI-DO seoul
CHUNGCHUNG PUKTO
KYONGSONG
CHUNG-CHONG
NAMDO taejon taegu chongju
CHOLLA-PUKTO
kwangju
CHOLLA-NAMDO KYONGSONG-NAMDO
pusan
N
↑
SOUTH KOREA
cheju CHEJU-JU
⊕ ATTACKS ON REGISTRATION ⊙ POLICE KILLED
BOOTHS
⊗ ATTACKS ON POLICE BOXES . ○ RIOTERS KILLED
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XXIV CORPS G-2-H/S #135 PART I
C. WAR POTENTIAL
1. Economic
The results of a price survey on 25 cost-of-living items for this period shows a decline for seven, increase for four, and no change for
14. These prices are from the SEOUL area.
Bank of Chosun currency in circulation fell 4.81 billion won during the first quarter of 1948 and further declined 95 million won in the first
13 days of April. The Bank of Chosun issue on 13 April stood at 29.2 billion won.
For the first month since the occupation SKIC receipts (February)
exceeded expenditures; the margin was 430 million won. The expenditures included the occupation cost.
2. Rice Prices
Local rice prices increased 60 won during the past seven days, reflecting increased transportation charges.
COMMENT: Excess baggage charges on the railroads have not been made prior to 13 April. On this date, to relieve congestion in passenger cars, the transportation department enforced an existing regulation charging passengers for all rice in excess of four large mal carried in coaches.
Local merchants immediately passed this charge on to the consumer.
Rice Price Summary
PRICE (won)
AREA Dec. Jan. Feb. March 16 April
SEOUL 750 743 746 710 680
KANGWON DO 632 791 850 *
CHUNGCHONG PUKTO 500 586 * *
CHUNGCHONG NAMDO 650 630 662 *
KYONGSANG PUKTO 534 541 550 *
KYONGSANG NAMDO 575 650 707 *
CHOLLA PUKTO 674 608 608 *
CHOLLA NAMDO 575 558 575 *
CHEJU DO 729 753 680 *
AVERAGE 631 648 676 *
Official Price -- 140 won
Source -- National Price Administration
* No data available
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3. Surrendered and Disarmed -- No Change: 179,375[illegible]
4. Progress of Repatriation This Period To Date
Japanese Civilians Arriving from
N of 38° N'KOREA, CHINA and MANCHURIA 0 288,525
Japanese Evacuated to JAPAN 46 883,803
Total Koreans Returning 3,787 2,090,522
Total Repatriates Moved Since 15 August 1945 2,973,409
5. Koreans Returned to KOREA Attempted Illegal
Entry to JAPAN 230 22,476
* Incomplete report
DECLASSIFIED
Authority NND 745070
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XXIV CORPS G-2 W/S #135 PART I
D. PSYCHOLOGICAL
The South Korean press, from the extreme right to left have found a common subject on which they agree: the treatment of Koreans in JAPAN.
Schools come in for particular interest. The closing of Korean schools and the transfer of children to Japanese schools brought cries that the Japanese are trying to kill Korean culture and spirit. Highlighted in the news columns was a proposed protest to SCAP. The excitement in the press did not far exceed the feeling in some departments of SKIG. Conferences were held by the departments of Education and Foreign Affairs for the purpose of drafting a protest to General MacARTHUR. The metropolitan press reported all details.
The PYONGYANG conference is still the No. 1 story to the press, with much speculation as to the outcome and with particular emphasis on the positions of the two KIMS. The return of the two liaison agents, sent by the KIMS, caused the leftist papers to devote over half of their front pages to the news.
Actually the news released by KIM Koo and KIM Kyu Sik amounted to a brief announcement of the return and that their agents' report was under study.
COMMENT: See paragraph B, 1, b.
The PYONGYANG conference had a close second in the coming elections.
Much space was devoted to the candidacy of various favorites. Dr. RHEE's statement — that the people could best realize their sovereignty through positive cooperation with the election: — received top news column space in the CHOONG ANG SHIN MUN, with other rightist papers falling in line.
The left wing DOK LIB SINBO compared the coming election in KOREA with those in GREECE and after a lengthy discussion best briefed their own editorial in a final word: "Beware."
The powerful right wing KYENG HYANG SHIN MUN bemoaned what they termed "excessive candidacy." This subject was a matter of concern to all of the rightist papers. Attention was called to the fact that at least five candidates had announced in some districts. This was causing loud criticism and great confusion.
The CHOSUN ILBO, in a profound editorial, came close to the democratic viewpoint when they reasoned that if the government, or someone in the government is evil, the wrong exists in the electorate. Calling for sincerity, the editor stated that the world powers are rushing into a crisis and displaying their respective powers, and for KOREA there is no power to display, and only sincerity and unification have a power stronger than the atomic bomb.
It was pointed out that indifference to the elections is regrettable and the ballot is not only a right but a sound obligation.
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XXIV CORPS G-2 W/S #135 PART I
E. SABOTAGE AND ESPIONAGE
In addition to the sabotage committed in conjunction with communist attacks on registration booths (see Part 1, B, 2) delayed reports were received of four other instances.
On 05 April it was discovered that a well in KAESONG (950-1690) had been poisoned. On 04 April communists threatened to poison the PUSAN
(1200-1340) reservoir if registration officials did not cease their work.
Six were arrested for the PUSAN threat.
During the night of 05-06 April telephones lines were cut at thirty
(30) points in CHOLLA NAMDO, and on the night of 06 April telephone wires were cut and stolen in KYONGSANG PUKTO.
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출처:
제주4·3평화재단 편,
『추가진상조사자료집-미국자료3』,
p. 127–135.
— NARA (RG 554, Entry 1256, Box 59)
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