주간정보분석

합동주간정보분석 제71호

Weekly Intelligence Analysis No. 71 - April 30 to May 7, 1949
1949-05-07 · 보고일 1949-05-07 주한미군사령부 Headquarters, United States Army Military Government in Korea
스캔 원본
100%
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p.608
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p.609
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p.610
합동주간정보분석 제71호 발신: 주한미육군사령부 사령관 수신: 육군부 참조: 극동사령부 정보참모부 보고 기간: 1949년 4월 30일~1949년 5월 7일 현황: 3. 유엔한국위원회는 5월 8일 제주도에 가서 국회의원 2명을 선출하기 위해 진행되는 5월 10일 선거를 감시할 계획을 세우고 있다. 제2부. 북한 현황: 2. 북한 정부는 남한 게릴라 조직들에 보급물자를 제공하기 위한 목적으로 영흥만(1040-1860) 지역에 잠수함 기지를 설치했다. 보고에 따르면 이 기지에는 잠수함 3척이 배치됐으며, 이 잠수함들은 "독일 P형" 잠수함으로 묘사되고 있다. 기지 사령관은 제주도 출신의 강파(Kang Pa)다. 소문에 따르면 그는 블라디보스토크에서 잠수함 훈련을 받았다고 한다. 1949년 3월까지 제주도로의 화물 수송 임무가 3차례 성공했다(F-6) 논평: 제주도에서 잠수함이 관측됐다는 소문은 확인되지 않았으나 고립된 게릴라 부대들에 보급물자를 제공하기 위해 잠수함을 사용하는 것은 가능하다고 증명돼 왔다. 북한이 이런 목적을 위해 잠수함을 사용하고 있는 중이거나 사용하려고 계획 중일 수 있다. ALSULO 논평: 현시점에서 북한 해군은 잠수함이나 잠수함 기지를 유지할 능력이 없었고 지금도 없다고 생각된다. 영흥만의 수심은 그와 같은 잠수함 기지의 설치에 부적합하다. 소련이 운용하는 잠수함의 기항지로 쓰기 위해 이 지역에 기지가 설치됐다고 보는 것이 좀 더 개연성이 있다. 여기서 소련 잠수함은 남한에 수송할 북한 게릴라 병력과 보급품을 싣고 생수와 물자를 보충하는 것일 수 있다.
MESSAGEFORM | MESSAGE CENTER NO. | TRANSMITTING MEANS | CRYPTOGRAPH OR CLEAR TEXT CALLS | ETA. BEN. NO. | PRECEDENCE | TRANSMISSION INSTRUCTIONS | ORIGINATOR | DATE-TIME GROUP V [illegible] ACTION | INFORMATION | EXEMPT | OPERATING SIGNALS | GROUP COUNT GR SPACE ABOVE FOR SIGNAL CENTER ONLY FROM: (Originator) CG USAFIK | SECURITY CLASSIFICATION SECRET ACTION TO: DEPARTMENT OF ARMY | PRECEDENCE FOR ACTION | INFORMATION ROUTINE ☑ ORIGINAL MESSAGE REFERS TO ANOTHER MESSAGE IDENTIFICATION | CLASSIFICATION INFORMATION TO: G-2 FEC PAREN ZG81________INPAREN TO DEPARTMENT OF ARMY FOR INTELLIGENCE DIVISION CMA UNCLE SUGAR ABLE PD . WEEKA NUMBER SEVEN ONE CMA PERIOD THREE ZERO APRIL TO SEVEN MAY FOUR NINE PD PARA CURRENT PARA ONE PD CHANG TAIK SAID CMA FORMER MINISTER OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS CMA WHO HAS BEEN UNSUCCESSFUL IN TWO ATTEMPTS XX IN RECENT MONTHS TO GAIN AN ASSEMBLY SEAT CMA WILL RUN IN THE CHEJU DASH DO ELECTIONS ON TEN MAY PD PAREN BAKER DASH TWO PAREN PARA TWO PD PRESIDENT RHEE RETURNED FROM ABLE FIFTEEN HUNDRED MILE GOOD WILL TOUR OF SOUTHERN PROVINCES PD DURING HIS TRIP THE CHIEF EXECUTIVE GAVE TWENTY SCHEDULED SPEECHES TO CROWDS TOTALLING NEARLY ABLE MILLION PERSONS PD PAREN BAKER DASH TWO PAREN PARA THREE PD ABLE UNCLE MAN CHARLIE OBOE KING COMMITTEE PLANS GO TO CHEJU DASH DO ON EIGHT MAY AND OBSERVE THE TEN MAY ELECTIONS ON THE ISLAND FOR XXXX TWO ASSEMBLY SEATS PD PARA FOUR PD THE KOOK MIN HOE CMA ABLE JOINT SOCIETY OF RIGHTIST XXXXX GROUPS CMA WHOSE LEADER IS PRESIDENT RHEE CMA IS REPORTED TO BE PREPARING POSTERS TO SECURITY CLASSIFICATION SECRET | SIGNATURE 73 ORIGINATING AGENCY SYMBOL | DATE-TIME GROUP | OFFICIAL TITLE | PAGE 1 OF 4 WD AGO FORM 15 JUN 1945 11-168 This form supersedes WD AGO Form 11-168, 23 Aug 44, and WD AGO Form 801, 12 Mar 43, which are obsolete. DECLASSIFIED Authority [illegible] SECRET WEMKA #71 SEE PETER SLASH ROGERS ONE ONE ZERO NINE CMA ONE ONE ONE ZERO AND ONE ONE ONE ONE CMA DATED TWO CMA FOUR AND SIX MAY PD PARA NO REPORTS OF VIOLENCE OR DISTURBANCES TAKING PLACE ON MAY DAY WERE RECIEVED PD PARA TWO FIVE ZERO MEMBERS OF THE SOUTH KOREA LABOR PARTY WERE ARRESTED IN THE PROVINCE OF HWANGIE DASH DO ON THIRTY APRIL PD PARA ONE ACT OF SABOTAGE WAS COMMITTED IN CHOLLA DASH NAMDO PROVINCE WHEN RAIL AND TELEPHONE LINES WERE CUT PD XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX PART TWO DASH NORTH KOREA PARA CURRENT PARA ONE PD IN ABLE XXX PACT CONCLUDED SEVENTEEN MARCH FOUR NINE THE SOVIET UNION AGREED TO FURNISH THE GOVERNMENT OF NORTH KOREA WITH EIGHTEEN BILLION WON CREDIT FOR BOLSTERING THE PEOPLES ARMY TO ABLE TOTAL OF SIX INFANTRY DIVISIONS AND THREE XX MECHANIZED QTE UNITS UNQTE BY PROVIDING THE NECESSARY ARMS AND EQUIPMENT PD IN ADDITION CMA SUFFICIENT ARMS AND EQUIPMENT TO EQUIP EIGHT BATTALIONS OF QTE MOBILE ON-JE BORDER CONSTABULARY WILL BE PROVIDED PD AT SUCH TIME AS NORTH KOREA HAS SUFFICIENT TRAINED AIRFORCE PERSONNEL THE SOVIET UNION WILL MAKE AVAILABLE TWENTY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT SACLU ONE HUNDRED FIGHTERS SACLU AND THIRTY BOMBERS CMA LIGHT AND MEDIUM PD TO ASSIST IN THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THIS EXPANSION AN ADDITIONAL ONE HUNDRED TO ONE TWO ZERO MILITARY ADVISORS WILL BE SENT FROM THE UNCLE SUGAR SOAM ROGER BETWEEN TWENTY MAY FOUR NINE AND TWENTY MAY FIFTY PD THE FIRST CONTINGENT WILL REACH NORTH KOREA TWENTY MAY FOUR NINE AND WILL CONSIST OF TWENTY ADVISORS HEADED BY MAJOR XXXXXX GENERAL MALTOV PD THE FIRST SHIPMENT OF ARMS AND EQUIPMENT WILL ARRIVE CONCURREETLY AND WILL BE VALUED AT TWO BILLION WON IN CREDITS PAREN FOX DASH SIX PAREN PARA TWO PD THE NORTH KOREAN GOVERNMENT HAS ESTABLISHED ABLE SUBMARINE BASE IN THE YONGHUNG BAY AREA PAREN ONE ZERO FOUR ZERO DASH ONE EIGHT SIX ZERO PAREN FOR THE PURPOSE OF SUPPLYING GUERRILLA ORGANIZATIONS IN SOUTH KOREA PD THERE ARE REPORTEDLY THREE SUBMARINES ASSIGNED TO THIS BASE CMA DESCRIBED AS QTE GERMAN PETER TYPE UNQTE SECRET Page 6 of _7_ WEEKA #71 SECRET SUBMARINES PD THE COMMANDANT OF THE BASE IS KANG PA CMA ABLE NATIVE OF CHEJU DO CMA WHO PURPORTEDLY RECEIVED SUBMARINE TRAINING IN VLADIVOSTOK PD BY MARCH OF ONE NINE FOUR NINE CMA THREE SUCCESSFUL CARGO TRANSPORT MISSIONS HAD BEEN MADE TO CHEJU DO PD PAREN FOX DASH SIX PAREN PARA COMMENT CLN RUMORS OF SUBMARINE SIGHTINGS OFF CHEJU DO HAVE NOT BEEN CONFIRMED BUT THE USE OF SUBMARINES IN SUPPLYING ISOLATED GUERRILLA UNITS HAS BEEN PROVEN FEASIBLE AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT NORTH KOREA IS USING OR PLANNING TO USE SUBMARINES FOR THIS PURPOSE. PD PARA ABLE LOVE UNCLE SUGAR LOVE OBOE COMMENT CLN IT IS NOT RPT NOT BELIEVED THAT THE NORTH KOREAN NAVY CAN OR COULD SUPPORT ABLE SUBMARINE OR ABLE SUBMARINE BASE AT THIS TIME PD THE WATER DEPTHS IN YONGHUNG BAY DO NOT RPT NOT LEND THEMSELVES TO THE ESTABLISHMENT OF ABLE SUBMARINE BASE IN THE USUAL MEANING OF SUCH ABLE BASE PD IT SEEMS MORE PROBABLE THAT ABLE BASE MAY HAVE BEEN ESTABLISHED IN THIS AREA FOR USE AS ABLE LAY DASH OVER POINT FOR SOVIET OPERATED SUBMARINES WHERE NORTH KOREAN GUERRILLA UNITS AND SUPPLIES MAY BE PICKED UP FOR TRANSPORTATION TO SOUTH KOREA AND WHERE FRESH WATER AND SUPPLIES MAY BE REPLENISHED PD MILITARY PARA ONE PD ABLE CHARLIE DASH SIX REPORT STATESTHAT ABLE SOVIET GUERRILLA WARFARE LIAISON OFFICE WAS ESTABLISHED AT CHONGJIN PAREN ONE TWO FIVE ZERO DASH TWO ONE SIX ZERO PAREN AT THE TIME OF THE WITHDRAWAL PD SOVIET GUERRILLA ADVISORY OFFICERS ARE DISPATCHED FROM THIS OFFICE TO VARIOUS GUERRILLA OPERATIONS CENTERS PD ON FIVE FEBRUARY ONE NINE FOUR NINE SOME TWO NINE EIGHT OF THESE ADVISORY OFFICERS REPORTEDLY ARRIVED IN CHORWON PAREN ONE XX ZERO ONE ZERO DASH ONE SEVEN TWO ZERO PAREN AND WERE ASSIGNED TO AREAS ALONG THE XXXX THIRTY EIGHTH PARALLEL PD PAREN ABLE SECOND REPORT STATES THAT IN LATE JANUARY ABLE QTE PARTISAN TROOP UNQTE FROM RUSSIA ARRIVED IN CHORWON PD IN ADDITION MANY QTE PARTISANS UNQTE WERE OBSERVED IN PYONGYANG PD PAREN FOX DASH SIX PAREN PARA COMMENT CLN THESE ARE THE FIRST REPORTS RECEIVED CONCERNING THE POSSIBLE ESTABLISHMENT OF ABLE SOVIET GUERRILLA LIAISON OFFICE AT CHONGJIN PD IT WOULD BE DECLASSIFIED Authority NND822059 Page 7 of 9 SECRET
출처: 제주4·3평화재단 편, 『추가진상조사자료집-미국자료5』, p. 608–610. — NARA (RG 554, Entry 1378, Box 76)